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Best Director 2011 – 2012

Best Director

Listed in accordance to likely win

Nominees

Michel Hazanavicius, “The Artist”

Martin Scorsese, “Hugo”

Woody Allen, “Midnight in Paris”

Terrence Malick, “The Tree of Life”

Alexander Payne, “The Descendants”

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Analysis 

Updated: December 19, 2011

There’s not a whole lot of news coming from here. The field will be significantly cleared up once the DGA makes their announcement. But for now,  Terrence Malick is somewhat unsteady in his position. He has had his fair share of critical notices, but the Golden Globes snub hurts. Martin Scorsese and Michel Hazanavicius remain favorites, with Steven Spielberg and Alexander Payne trailing by a fair distance. Given Drive‘s critics success, Nicolas Winding Refn looks like an appealing outside chance – but it’s Woody Allen who has the best chance of entering into the mix.

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Analysis 

Updated: December 3, 2011

The conversation is shifting. Or rather, it’s adding a new ingredient with the critical response to Martin Scorsese’s Hugo. Following a win from NBR (and a second place finish from New York film critics), the film has opened up the race dramatically. Given the rather shakey start that The Descendants has had for the awards season, I’m starting to believe that Alexander Payne’s place in the top 5 isn’t quite as secure as one might think.

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Analysis 

Updated: October 15, 2011

Gosh, I’ve done a bit of a 180 since my last update. It’s all about David Fincher at this point. I’m slowly beginning to accept the idea that The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo could be more and more of an awards play. And if there’s anyone to get that kind of play, it’s Fincher, not Nicolas Winding Refn. Drive has simply faded away since its release.

The real player that could shake things up is David Cronenberg. A Dangerous Method strikes me as the sort of atypical film that the Academy just might nominate, ala last year with Black Swan. But like The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo, I suspect Cronenberg will need his film to play well critically and commercially before it becomes a spoiler.

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Analysis 

Updated: October 4, 2011

Tomas Alfredson is kind of clinging onto his spot. I suspect he’ll get the push on the strength of the British vote, but given there are so many unknowns, it’s a tough spot to hold. David Fincher could easily sneak in if The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo catches on. And if there’s ever going to be a lone director representative minus a Best Picture play, I suspect it’ll be for Nicolas Winding Refn. It’ll be interesting to see how it plays during the critical awards.

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